This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 9th strongest of the 36 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 7:33PM EDT until June 14 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 138,234 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- June 12, 2026 · score 43 · 14.4 km
- August 7, 2026 · score 43 · 15.7 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 34 · 16.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 38.5106, -77.9517 |
| Nearest City | Culpeper (6 km) |
| Population Exposed | 138.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-14T23:33:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.312587e7d94e178d05471315be7b29e4 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Calvert, MD; Charles, MD; Prince Georges, MD; Charles City, VA; James City, VA; New Kent, VA; Prince George, VA; Gates, NC; Hertford, NC; Northampton, NC; Greensville, VA; Southampton, VA; Sussex, VA; City of Franklin, VA and 12 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 7:33PM EDT until June 14 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-06-14T20:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 15 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.312587e7d94e178d05471315be7b29e4c4f5aa67.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.30ce41d39090d574ab44a12c8dd0a829e3c7071e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.182664adf7402583a8083875865a9d85193293db.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.727692a40c1f61352f190b828259385a4f82ae44.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d6eef071a3130b7d9af6190eb1d98cc02437a8ef.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.14fb123d687689a139cbe00e73e040e406247c71.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d55b7dd87bce228569f7fc4492d04a2a13821ca7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ac2b71445b132d8a05d3b66b1af3346d5b2f70dc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.15e5b6cb5f20e0d962ff1015291ebc45f8125036.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ba7f63a98d6ad8c16de499a2ca901c639e51ea49.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0684b15f81a5426ef9da245856e64433d31409e4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6a5eb512f4b2cbddd43b8e7d54cf951b86bcc558.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e913d5370bf1d66b15ee27feeae8b2a330598839.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9f4fe3775b043b3c28b11c292c4f11f42a68ea9c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f5ad70c94952c488689ec6250e1db6ae441fb115.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 37/100, near Culpeper (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.